000
ABNT20 KNHC 020532
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON AUG 2 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 950 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS REMAIN FAIRLY WELL ORGANIZED...HOWEVER SATELLITE MICROWAVE
IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW DOES NOT YET HAVE A WELL-DEFINED
SURFACE CENTER OF CIRCULATION.  NONETHELESS...CONDITIONS APPEAR
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM AT
ANY TIME DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.  THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...90
PERCENT...OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

A TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING THE COAST OF NICARAGUA IS PRODUCING
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT LAND AREAS.  SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS DISTURBANCE IS UNLIKELY BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND LATER TODAY...
AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH