000
ABNT20 KNHC 221751
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY FORMED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE LOCATED ABOUT 250 SOUTHEAST OF NASSAU IN
THE BAHAMAS.

AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE IN THE WESTERN BAY OF CAMPECHE CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS
OF ORGANIZATION. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD TOWARD THE
COAST OF MEXICO.  ALTHOUGH ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE
FAVORABLE...THE PROXIMITY TO LAND WILL LIKELY INHIBIT SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE BEFORE IT REACHES THE COAST OF MEXICO
IN A DAY OR TWO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT33 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT3.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT23 KNHC AND
UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT3.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA/ROBERTS