000 ABNT20 KNHC 070530 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT WED JUL 7 2010 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS...AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED NEAR THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TODAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER PASCH