000
ABNT20 KNHC 040532
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN JUL 4 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTH OF
THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER IS PRODUCING LIMITED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.  THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY
WESTWARD OR NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 5 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AND DRY AIR IN THE MID AND UPPER
LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE CURRENTLY INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT...AND
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND LATER TODAY 
OR MONDAY.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.  CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR
SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES GENERALLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN