000
ABNT20 KNHC 172332
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT THU JUN 17 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING THE LEEWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING
AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  ALTHOUGH THE ASSOCIATED
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED THIS EVENING...IT
REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. 
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS THIS
SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.  THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO OVER THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO.  

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/PASCH