000 ABNT20 KNHC 201740 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SUN SEP 20 2009 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF FRED...IS LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS AND IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DUE TO UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT LIKELY DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT... OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BERG