000
ABNT20 KNHC 080532
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE SEP 8 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON
RECENTLY-UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM FRED...LOCATED ABOUT 245 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. 

A NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A MID- TO
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS LOCATED JUST TO THE SOUTHWEST OF CAPE LOOKOUT
NORTH CAROLINA.  WHILE THIS LOW IS PRODUCING SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION.  THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  THIS LOW WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA TODAY AS IT MOVES
SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM
CAN BE FOUND IN PRODUCTS ISSUED BY LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICES. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM FRED ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT32 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT2.  
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM FRED ARE ISSUED UNDER
WMO HEADER WTNT22 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT2.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH