000
ABNT20 KNHC 012350
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY FORMED
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA LOCATED 390 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS. 

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS SPREADING
CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THIS
SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM
MOVES TO THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON ERIKA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT31 KNHC
AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT1. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED
UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT21 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT1.

$$

FORECASTER AVILA