000
ABNT20 KNHC 091730
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN AUG 9 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE...IS
CENTERED JUST TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
AND CONTINUES TO SHOW SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION.  CONDITIONS
APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 10
TO 15 MPH.  THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY
GUSTY WINDS COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS OVER
THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG/PASCH