000
ABNT20 KNHC 221145
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED JUL 22 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SPREADING OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND HISPANIOLA ADJACENT WATERS ARE ASSOCIATED
WITH A TROPICAL WAVE MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT 20 TO 25 MPH.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF
THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 

DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS NORTHWARD INTO THE ATLANTIC FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED
MILES ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH.  SURFACE PRESSURES
ARE HIGH IN THIS AREA AND THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AT
THIS TIME.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/ROBERTS