000
ABNT20 KNHC 191732
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN JUL 19 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE
LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS HAS BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. WHILE ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY FAVORABLE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME LESS FAVORABLE
TONIGHT. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
GUSTY WINDS COULD AFFECT THE WINDWARD ISLANDS ON MONDAY AS THE WAVE
MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN
30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/BLAKE