000 ABNT20 KNHC 270521 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2009 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA HAVE DECREASED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT ANTICIPATED BEFORE IT REACHES THE YUCATAN PENINSULA LATER TODAY. HOWEVER... ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME FAVORABLE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT ONCE THE SYSTEM EMERGES INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO LATER TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA AND HONDURAS TODAY AND COULD SPREAD WESTWARD INTO NORTHERN CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE