000
ABNT20 KNHC 231140
TWOAT 
SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
740 AM EDT SAT MAY 23 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE IMAGERY...RADAR DATA...AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE
THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO ABOUT 75 MILES SOUTH OF MOBILE ALABAMA HAS CHANGED LITTLE
IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE LAST FEW HOURS.  ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM IS BECOMING LESS LIKELY...SINCE THE CENTER WILL BE
MOVING ONSHORE LATER THIS MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON.  THE AIR
FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT MISSION SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE THE LOW LATER TODAY HAS BEEN CANCELED.  THERE IS NOW A
LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE BEFORE IT REACHES THE COAST LATER TODAY.
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINS AND OCCASIONALLY GUSTY
WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTH-CENTRAL AND
NORTHEAST GULF COAST THROUGH THE DAY...AND INTERESTS IN THIS AREA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE SYSTEM.

ANOTHER SPECIAL OUTLOOK ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED THIS
AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/PASCH