000 ABNT20 KNHC 241745 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SUN AUG 24 2008 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY...LOCATED ABOUT 25 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MERIDIAN MISSISSIPPI. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM AS IT MOVES WEST TO WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS WAVE WILL LIKELY SPREAD SQUALLY WEATHER TO PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM TOMORROW...IF NECESSARY. A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 525 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE GRADUALLY BECOMING LESS CONDUCIVE...AND ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OR NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH