000
ABNT20 KNHC 141515
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT SUN OCT 14 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED ABOUT 100 MILES EAST OF THE
BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO AND BELIZE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA.  THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND INTO THE
SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED THIS MORNING NEAR THE CENTER OF
THIS LOW.  ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT...AND THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO BECOME
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT BEFORE IT REACHES THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA.  DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL WILL BE LIMITED...
HOWEVER...DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS DUE TO INTERACTION WITH
LAND.  HEAVY RAINS ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
AMERICA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO TODAY AND TOMORROW.

A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS
MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
SEA.  THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY IS VERY LIMITED AND
DISORGANIZED.  SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED DUE TO
STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS...AND THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE INLAND OVER
CENTRAL AMERICA IN A DAY OR TWO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER KNABB