000
ABNT20 KNHC 232129
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT SUN SEP 23 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON
SUBTROPICAL STORM JERRY...LOCATED ABOUT 1060 MILES WEST OF THE
AZORES.

DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA NORTHWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO ARE PRIMARILY
ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH.  THIS SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED
AND THE RECONNAISSANCE MISSION SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON WAS CANCELED.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS OVER THIS SYSTEM
ARE CURRENTLY VERY STRONG AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO
BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS
LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.  THIS SYSTEM
HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION TODAY...BUT COULD STILL DEVELOP
INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED
ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.  THIS
SYSTEM REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED AND CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR IT
TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT
MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON JERRY ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT31 AND
UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT1.  FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON JERRY ARE
ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT21 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT1.

$$

FORECASTER BROWN