000 ABNT20 KNHC 171526 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1130 AM EDT TUE OCT 17 2006 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 75 MILES NORTH OF PUERTO RICO ARE DISORGANIZED AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS... AND THE LEEWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. $$ FORECASTER BROWN/KNABB