000
ABNT20 KNHC 151528
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT SUN OCT 15 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ALONG
THE COAST OF MEXICO JUST NORTH OF TAMPICO.  DUE TO STRONG
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AND PROXIMITY TO LAND...TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT DOES NOT APPEAR LIKELY AS THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHWARD AT
ABOUT 10 MPH.  HOWEVER...THE COMBINATION OF THIS LOW AND A HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES COULD PRODUCE GUSTY
WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND
SOUTHERN TEXAS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AREA IS NEARLY STATIONARY ABOUT 150
MILES NORTH OF PUERTO RICO.  ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY IS
DISORGANIZED AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR TROPICAL
CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA.

TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB/BROWN