000 ABNT20 KNHC 150920 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 AM EDT SUN OCT 15 2006 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR TAMPICO. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA...LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES NORTH OF PUERTO RICO...IS NEARLY STATIONARY. THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS DISORGANIZED...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. $$ FORECASTER PASCH