000 ABNT20 KNHC 150213 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 PM EDT SAT OCT 14 2006 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR TAMPICO. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA...LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES NORTH OF PUERTO RICO...IS NEARLY STATIONARY. WHILE THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED SOMEWHAT THIS EVENING...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN