000 ABNT20 KNHC 130230 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 PM EDT THU OCT 12 2006 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA IS LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PUERTO RICO. THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION THIS EVENING...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING LESS CONDUCIVE FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS...ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY AND ERRATICALLY NORTHWARD. A SMALL LOW PRESSURE AREA...ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE...IS LOCATED ABOUT 825 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST ABOUT 5 TO 10 MPH. DEVELOPMENT IS NOT ANTICIPATED DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN