000
ABNT20 KNHC 120910
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT THU OCT 12 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER DEFINED THIS
MORNING OVER THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ABOUT 50 MILES SOUTH OF
NEVIS AND ST. KITTS. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED AND ALSO
BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS HAVE BECOME
SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO DEVELOP DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR SO. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT 10
TO 15 MPH. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS CAN BE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT LAND
AREAS TODAY AND TONIGHT...ALONG WITH SOME FLOODING AND POSSIBLE MUD
SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART