000
ABNT20 KNHC 070206
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT FRI OCT 6 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE BROAD LOW
PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 260 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA
REMAINS DISORGANIZED.  ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS DO NOT APPEAR TO
BE FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT... THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE
FOR THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH. 
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE
THE SYSTEM ON SATURDAY...IF NECESSARY.

ANOTHER AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE
AND THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. SURFACE PRESSURES ARE RISING IN THE AREA
AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DIMINISHED THIS EVENING. DEVELOPMENT IS NOT
EXPECTED. HOWEVER...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER COASTAL
AREAS OF EASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
LITTLE.

TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH