000
ABNT20 KNHC 061507
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT FRI OCT 6 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS MORNING INDICATES THAT A LOW PRESSURE AREA
HAS FORMED ABOUT 360 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.  WHILE THE
ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY POORLY
ORGANIZED...THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO
A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES
NORTHEASTWARD ABOUT 10 MPH.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER
IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM ON SATURDAY...IF NECESSARY.

ANOTHER AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE
AND THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. CONDITIONS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION. HOWEVER...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE
OVER COASTAL AREAS OF EASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE
SYSTEM DRIFTS SLOWLY WESTWARD. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/RHOME