000 ABNT20 KNHC 060214 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 PM EDT THU OCT 5 2006 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE...IS LOCATED BETWEEN BERMUDA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. ANOTHER AREA OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AND THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT DRIFTS WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN