000
ABNT20 KNHC 052102
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT THU OCT 5 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES
ALONG A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM THE EASTERN
BAHAMAS NORTHEASTWARD TO BERMUDA.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT.

ANOTHER AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...OVER THE
BAY OF CAMPECHE AND THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...IS ASSOCIATED
WITH A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE.  SURFACE PRESSURES REMAIN HIGH
AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT.  HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO AS IT DRIFTS WESTWARD. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN