000
ABNT20 KNHC 052102
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT TUE SEP 5 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM FLORENCE...LOCATED ABOUT 960 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS.

A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE NEAR FLORIDA IS PRODUCING A 
LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS...FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT WATERS.  THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE
SLOW TO OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD. 

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED
SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS CONTINUE TO
SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR
SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO DEVELOP DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH