000
ABNT20 KNHC 160205
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT TUE AUG 15 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES
SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA COASTS.  WHILE THE
ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS MINIMAL...THIS
SYSTEM STILL HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION OVER
THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD.  AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE
SYSTEM ON WEDNESDAY...IF NECESSARY.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH OVER
THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO HAVE DIMINISHED THIS EVENING. 
HOWEVER...SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE
NEXT DAY OR SO.  LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH