000
ABNT20 KNHC 152054
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT TUE AUG 15 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST
OF THE SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA COASTS HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN
ORGANIZATION THIS AFTERNOON.  WHILE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY REMAINS MINIMAL AT THIS TIME...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
MAY BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO
FORM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY
NORTHWARD.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM ON WEDNESDAY...IF NECESSARY.

AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE
TROUGH...HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO THIS
AFTERNOON. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER
THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

$$
FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH