000
ABNT20 KNHC 150206
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT MON AUG 14 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA...EXTENDING FROM JUST NORTH OF THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FOR A FEW
HUNDRED MILES...HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST
SEVERAL HOURS.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS COULD BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR
SLOW DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM REMAINS
NEARLY STATIONARY OR DRIFTS NORTHWARD.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM
TOMORROW...IF NECESSARY.

A WELL-ORGANIZED TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS.  WHILE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY
FAVORABLE...SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER
THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. 
REGARDLESS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION...SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS COULD SPREAD OVER THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS LATER TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

$$
FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH