000
ABNT20 KNHC 141440
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT MON AUG 14 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA IS LOCATED FROM JUST NORTH OF THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS AND EXTENDS NORTHEASTWARD OVER THR ATLANTIC
FOR A FEW HUNDRED MILES. A NEW CIRCULATION CENTER IS SHOWING SIGNS
OF DEVELOPING JUST NORTH OF THE BAHAMAS...WHILE THE ONE FARTHER TO
THE NORTHEAST IS BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT REMAINS
NEARLY STATIONARY. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM TOMORROW...IF NECESSARY.

A VIGOROUS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA IS PRODUCING NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND HEAVY SQUALLS BETWEEN THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA AND THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS. WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED WITH
THIS SYSTEM TODAY. ALTHOUGH ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE ONLY
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR...A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD STILL FORM BEFORE THE SYSTEM REACHES THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS TOMORROW. INTERESTS NEAR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA HAS BECOME POORLY DEFINED...AND NO SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART



000
ABNT20 KNHC 141440
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT MON AUG 14 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA IS LOCATED FROM JUST NORTH OF THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS AND EXTENDS NORTHEASTWARD OVER THR ATLANTIC
FOR A FEW HUNDRED MILES. A NEW CIRCULATION CENTER IS SHOWING SIGNS
OF DEVELOPING JUST NORTH OF THE BAHAMAS...WHILE THE ONE FARTHER TO
THE NORTHEAST IS BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT REMAINS
NEARLY STATIONARY. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM TOMORROW...IF NECESSARY.

A VIGOROUS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA IS PRODUCING NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND HEAVY SQUALLS BETWEEN THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA AND THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS. WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED WITH
THIS SYSTEM TODAY. ALTHOUGH ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE ONLY
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR...A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD STILL FORM BEFORE THE SYSTEM REACHES THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS TOMORROW. INTERESTS NEAR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA HAS BECOME POORLY DEFINED...AND NO SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART