000 ABNT20 KNHC 080219 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 PM EDT MON AUG 7 2006 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A WELL-DEFINED AREA OF LOW-PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 1150 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. ALTHOUGH OVERALL ORGANIZATION HAS CHANGED LITTLE THIS EVENING... ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO POSSIBLY FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. A NON-TROPICAL LOW IS LOCATED ABOUT 725 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. A TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER HISPANIOLA...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. $$ FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART