000
ABNT20 KNHC 072127
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT MON AUG 7 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A WELL-DEFINED AREA OF LOW-PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST 
OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. 
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BEEN GRADUALLY INCREASING NEAR THE CENTER
OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TODAY. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR
SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER TONIGHT OR TUESDAY.

A NON-TROPICAL LOW IS LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
AZORES.  SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THIS SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED AND
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

A TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS PRODUCING
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER HISPANIOLA...THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT
MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART