000
ABNT20 KNHC 312116
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT MON JUL 31 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A WEAK CIRCULATION HAS DEVELOPED
IN THE TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 200 MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS.  THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS LIMITED AND
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...HOWEVER...ONLY A SMALL INCREASE IN
ORGANIZATION WOULD RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION.  WHETHER OR NOT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEVELOPS...
LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS AND OCCASIONAL STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY
OVER PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS
THIS SYSTEM MOVES TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 15 MPH.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA IS MOVING SLOWLY EAST-
SOUTHEASTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON
AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT.

CLOUDINESS AND DISORGANIZED SHOWERS CONTINUE TO AFFECT JAMAICA...
EASTERN CUBA...AND HISPANIOLA.  TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT
EXPECTED IN THIS AREA.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/RHOME