000
ABNT20 KNHC 311509
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT MON JUL 31 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15-20 MPH.  THIS SYSTEM
REMAINS WELL-ORGANIZED BUT THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS
LIMITED.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE
FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT.  LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS AND STRONG
GUSTY WINDS IN SQUALLS ARE LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

CLOUDINESS AND DISORGANIZED SHOWERS EXTEND NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE
VICINITY OF THE WINDWARD PASSAGE INTO THE ATLANTIC FOR A FEW
HUNDRED MILES.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN
UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM.  HOWEVER...LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA AND
HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 150 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA IS MOVING SLOWLY EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD. 
ALTHOUGH THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY IS NOT WELL-ORGANIZED AT
THIS TIME...THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE
NEXT DAY OR SO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS