000
ABNT20 KNHC 310927
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT MON JUL 31 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 390 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. WHILE
SHOWER ACTIVITY IS LIMITED...THIS SYSTEM REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED.
ALTHOUGH ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE ONLY MARGINAL FOR TROPICAL
CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT...AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
WILL BE AVAILABLE TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON...IF
NECESSARY.

CLOUDINESS AND DISORGANIZED SHOWERS EXTEND NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA...EASTERN CUBA...AND HISPANIOLA...AND INTO
THE SOUTHWESTERN ATLANTIC FOR A FEW HUNDRED MILES.  UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM.  HOWEVER...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER
PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA AND HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY

$$
FORECASTER STEWART