000 ABNT20 KNHC 302057 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 PM EDT SUN JUL 30 2006 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM HAS NOT BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY... BUT STILL HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH...CONTINUES OVER THE CENTRAL TO WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... HISPANIOLA...PUERTO RICO...AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME INCREASINGLY UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. HOWEVER...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING...WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA AND JAMAICA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. $$ FORECASTER RHOME/FRANKLIN