000
ABNT20 KNHC 301456
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT SUN JUL 30 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE AND ASSOCIATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED ABOUT
525 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.  ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS ARE
CURRENTLY ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM
STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.   

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK SURFACE
TROUGH CONTINUES THIS MORNING OVER THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA... HISPANIOLA...PUERTO RICO...AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS.  ALTHOUGH
THIS SYSTEM SHOWS SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BECOME UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO... THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND EASTERN HISPANIOLA AS THE TROUGH MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.  

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
MONDAY.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH