000
ABNT20 KNHC 300915
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT SUN JUL 30 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE AND ASSOCIATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED ABOUT
650 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.  ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS ARE
CURRENTLY ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM
STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.   

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE HAS
BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING OVER THE NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA...HISPANIOLA...PUERTO RICO...AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS.
SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY OVER PORTIONS PUERTO
RICO...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND EASTERN HISPANIOLA.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
MONDAY.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART