000
ABNT20 KNHC 260208
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT TUE JUL 25 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN ELONGATED SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER SOUTH TEXAS EXTENDING
FROM NEAR MCALLEN NORTHEASTWARD TO BAFFIN BAY IS PRODUCING A LARGE
AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS... ALONG WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS
IN SQUALLS... OVER PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL AREAS.  RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST
THAT A LOW PRESSURE CENTER MAY BE TRYING TO FORM ALONG THE TEXAS
COAST NEAR BAFFIN BAY. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD STILL FORM IF THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OR DEVELOPS FARTHER TO THE EAST OVER THE GULF
OF MEXICO. REGARDLESS OF WHETHER A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMS...THIS
SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF THE
TEXAS COASTAL BEND REGION...THE UPPER TEXAS COAST...AND SOUTHERN
LOUISIANA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY
NORTHWARD.

A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES EAST OF
THE LESSER ANTILLES.  ALTHOUGH SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS CONTINUED TO
SLOWLY INCREASE...ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD
BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.

$$

FORECASTER STEWART