000
ABNT20 KNHC 252111
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT TUE JUL 25 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS BETWEEN
EDINBURG AND HARLINGEN IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.  THIS
SYSTEM IS GENERATING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS...THUNDERSTORMS AND
STRONG GUSTY WINDS IN SQUALLS OVER PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL AREAS.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS HAVE
BECOME SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO
DEVELOP...BUT ONLY IF THE SYSTEM CENTER MOVES OR REFORMS OFFSHORE
OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. REGARDLESS OF WHETHER A TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORMS...THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS...THE TEXAS COASTAL BEND REGION...AND
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES EAST OF
THE LESSER ANTILLES.  ALTHOUGH THERE HAS BEEN A SLIGHT INCREASE IN
SHOWER ACTIVITY...ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE
SLOW TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

$$

FORECASTER STEWART