000
ABNT20 KNHC 251817
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT TUE JUL 25 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO ABOUT
45 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS IS MOVING NORTHWARD ABOUT
10 MPH.  THIS SYSTEM IS GENERATING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS...
THUNDERSTORMS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS IN SQUALLS OVER PORTIONS OF
THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL AREAS.  THE
SYSTEM CENTER IS OVER LAND AND IS NOT CURRENTLY FORECAST TO EMERGE
OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO.  THEREFORE...TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT IS UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME.  HOWEVER...IF THE CENTER DOES
EMERGE OVER THE GULF...A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM. 
REGARDLESS OF WHETHER A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMS...THIS SYSTEM IS
LIKELY TO BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF EXTREME
NORTHEASTERN MEXICO... SOUTHERN TEXAS...AND SOUTHERN LOUISIANA
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ABOUT 650 MILES EAST OF
THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.  THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS
MINIMAL...AND SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT
EXPECTED. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

$$

FORECASTER BEVEN