000
ABNT20 KNHC 250857
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT TUE JUL 25 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE NORTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO
BETWEEN TAMPICO AND BROWNSVILLE IS GENERATING DISORGANIZED
SHOWERS...THUNDERSTORMS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS IN SQUALLS OVER
PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL
AREAS.  THERE IS NO WELL-DEFINED SURFACE CIRCULATION AND
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORMATION.  HOWEVER...AS THE SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY NORTHWARD OVER
THE NEXT DAY OR SO ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME A LITTLE
MORE FAVORABLE...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD STILL FORM IF THE
LOW REMAINS OVER WATER.  REGARDLESS OF WHETHER A TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORMS...THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO
PORTIONS OF EXTREME NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES EAST OF
THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.  THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY IS
MINIMAL...AND SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT
EXPECTED. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

$$

FORECASTER PASCH/LANDSEA