000 ABNT20 KNHC 242101 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 PM EDT MON JUL 24 2006 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... UPPER-LEVEL WINDS...IN COMBINATION WITH A WEAK SURFACE LOW VERY NEAR THE MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN TAMPICO AND LA PESCA...CONTINUE TO GENERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THIS ACTIVITY HAS NOT BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CURRENTLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...THEY ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY NORTHWARD...AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IF THE SURFACE LOW REMAINS OVER WATER. A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM IS EMBEDDED WITHIN VERY DRY AIR AND NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN