000 ABNT20 KNHC 221514 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1130 AM EDT SAT JUL 22 2006 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AND THE EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM TO OCCUR. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME A LITTLE MORE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO...ESPECIALLY OVER MOUNTAINNOUS TERRAIN... FROM VERA CRUZ NORTHWARD TO TAMPICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. $$ FORECASTER STEWART