000 ABNT20 KNHC 282111 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 PM EDT WED JUN 28 2006 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE LOW PRESSURE AREA THAT PRODUCED LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND TODAY HAS MERGED WITH A FRONTAL SYSTEM AND IS MOVING OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIME PROVINCES. A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE EXTREME EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE LESSER ANTILLES... AND CONTINUING EASTWARD OVER THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FOR A FEW HUNDRED MILES. SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED AND BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY... AND WIND GUSTS TO 36 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED ON ST. LUCIA. UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. HOWEVER... BRIEF PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS... POSSIBLY TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS... CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS MOST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES TONIGHT... AND OVER THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON THURSDAY. A SURFACE TROUGH INTERACTING WITH A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS PRODUCING A BROAD AND DISORGANIZED AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN BERMUDA AND PUERTO RICO. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. $$ FORECASTER STEWART