000 ABNT20 KNHC 171518 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1130 AM EDT SAT JUN 17 2006 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED THIS MORNING IN ASSOCIATION WITH A TROPICAL WAVE JUST EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. HOWEVER...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT PRESSURES ARE HIGH IN THE AREA...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH... WITH THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY SPREADING ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN