000 ABNT20 KNHC 162217 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 PM EST WED NOV 16 2005 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED 100 MILES OR SO OFF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS CONTINUE TO BE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...THE SYSTEM HAS NOT BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND IS LIKELY TO MOVE INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA BEFORE SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT CAN OCCUR. REGARDLESS OF WHETHER OR NOT A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMS IN THIS AREA...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA...PARTICULARLY OVER NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS...DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WILL INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM ON THURSDAY...IF NECESSARY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$