000 ABNT20 KNHC 030911 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 AM EDT SUN JUL 3 2005 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR LONGITUDE 86W. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. INTERESTS IN AND NEAR THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...YUCATAN CHANNEL...THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. SQUALLS PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH SOME OF THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN $$