000
AXPZ20 KNHC 301526
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Fri Aug 30 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is near 115W from 07N to 20N, moving westward at
10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 12N to 16N
between 113W and 116W.

A tropical wave is along 132W from 07N to 20N, moving westward 
at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection are noted from 10N to 
14N between 130W and 137W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 09N86W to 11N140W. Aside from 
the convection associated with the tropical wave described above,
scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to 12N and E of
94W.
 
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Latest scatterometer satellite data indicated moderate to fresh 
winds off the coast of Baja California between Cabo San Lazaro 
and Punta Eugenia. Latest altimeter data showed 5 to 6 ft seas 
in this area. These winds are funneling between the coast and the
subtropical ridge west of the region. Moderate S to SW gap winds
are active over the northern Gulf of California between the 
ridge and low pressure over the lower Colorado River Valley. 
Light to gentle breezes and 3 to 5 ft seas are noted elsewhere.

For the forecast, a surface ridge will continue to dominate the
offshore forecast waters of Baja California through mid week,
supporting moderate NW winds and moderate seas north of Cabo San
Lazaro into mid week, and light to gentle breezes elsewhere. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are ongoing off western 
Panama and Costa Rica offshore waters, south of the monsoon 
trough. In the Papagayo region, moderate NE winds and moderate 
seas prevail. Light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere across the
area north of the monsoon trough with slight to moderate seas. 
South of the monsoon trough, moderate to fresh S to SW winds are 
ongoing with moderate seas to 7 ft, highest east of the Galapagos
Islands.

For the forecast, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas 
will persist across the region into mid week.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A surface ridge dominates most of the waters north of 20N and
west of 110W. Gentle to moderate anticyclonic flow and 5-6 ft 
seas prevail elsewhere across the subtropical waters under the 
influence of the ridge. Moderate to fresh southerly winds are 
noted S of the monsoon trough.
 
For the forecast, the surface ridge will build across most of 
the forecast waters north of 15N and west of 110W toward the end 
of the week. Elsewhere, southerly winds south of the monsoon 
trough to the Equator will remain moderate to fresh through the 
week, with seas of 5 to 7 ft.

$$
ERA